FunPlus Phoenix - Anyone's Legend

Analysis and statistics

Match Context & Stakes

The FunPlus Phoenix vs Anyone's Legend matchup takes place during LPL 2025 Split 2, one of the most significant and competitive regions of the global League of Legends scene. Both teams are battling to secure favorable standings early in the split, setting the tone for their playoff aspirations. While Anyone's Legend is coming in as the heavy favorite, the LPL is a region historically known for producing upsets. Positioning within the mid-table is crucial for both organizations with plenty to prove in their opening weeks.

Team Form Overview

FunPlus Phoenix Recent Form:

• Last 5 Results: LOST vs Bilibili (1-2), LOST vs TES (0-2), WON vs BLG (2-1), LOST vs Team WE (1-2), WON vs NiP (2-0)
• 2 wins and 3 losses, with wins mostly against bottom-half teams (NiP, BLG). Losses were mostly to stronger or evenly matched teams, generally performing close in maps but often falling short in closing series.

Anyone's Legend Recent Form:

• Last 5 Results: WON vs NiP (2-0), LOST vs JDG (0-2), WON vs Team WE (2-1), WON vs TT (2-0), WON vs Weibo (2-0)
• 4 wins and 1 loss, having dispatched weaker teams comfortably and not dropping maps outside their contest with top-tier JDG.

Momentum sits clearly with Anyone's Legend, but FunPlus Phoenix’s occasional series competitiveness is evident.

Stat-Based Matchup Analysis

Team Statistical Overview (Last 3 months):

• Gold Per Minute: AL - 1886 | FPX - 1853 (Small advantage AL)
• Kills Per Minute: AL - 0.55 | FPX - 0.49 (Clearer edge AL)
• Kills/Deaths Ratio: AL - 2.40 | FPX - 1.37 (AL heavier on execution, fewer thrown leads)
• Champion Damage: AL - 2810 | FPX - 2629 (AL active and productive during fights)
• First Baron/Dragon/Blood/Kills: All these early objective rates are at 0% for both, either due to limited available data or overwhelming losses/gaps in controlling leads early on.

Anyone's Legend have won their games with emphasis and discipline, boasting high kill conversion and damage output. FunPlus Phoenix, while holding their own statistically against the lower/mid teams, are significantly outperformed by AL overall. No edge on first major objectives suggests neither team excels at early macro but AL's teamfighting stats more than compensate as the game progress.

Market Evaluation & Betting Edges

Match Winner

• FunPlus Phoenix @ 5.8
• Anyone's Legend @ 1.13

Implied probability on FPX is about 17%. Given recent form disparity and statistical gulf, FPX’s true win chance is more likely between 10-15%, so even a high number here doesn't provide value.

Map Handicap

• FPX -1.5 @ 10
• FPX +1.5 @ 2.35

FPX winning outright 2-0 is extremely unlikely (true % <10%). Taking maps off AL is possible (they did vs BLG and other teams), so +1.5, while tempting, is likely juiced. Historical edge is with AL’s clean series.

Total Maps/Correct Score

• **Under 2.5 @ 1.38, Over 2.5 @ 2.8
• 2:0 Anyone's Legend @ 1.52**

Anyone's Legend has won 4 series in their last 5, three of those by sweep (incl. weaker teams and a mid team). FunPlus Phoenix, in losses, managed a map vs only BLG and Team WE, showing they can scrap, but given statistical and matchup disadvantages the odds reflect reality. No edge larger than 3-4%.

Early Objective/First Blood Markets

Odds on FunPlus Phoenix for 1st Blood (~2.05-2.1) or objectives are heavily weighted, but with both teams at 0% recent rates and poor early game trends, there’s no proven pattern or inefficiency to attack.

Final Thoughts

Anyone's Legend is priced as an overwhelming favorite and the gap is highly justified. Statistically, there is a stark difference in both macro (GPM, Damage, K/D) and result quality. FunPlus Phoenix is a live underdog in very soft matchups, but there's little data-driven basis for value here. Betting markets are shaped correctly, offering excessive odds on unlikely splits with no exploitable discrepancy relative to the underlying win/match/prop percentages. This fixture projects as a routine win for AL and betting simply for "miracle" odds is -EV long-term. No value detected across major market categories.

Written on May 6, 2025 3:44 PM