Bilibili Gaming - FunPlus Phoenix

Analysis and statistics

Match Context & Stakes

On May 3, 2025, Bilibili Gaming (BLG) will face FunPlus Phoenix (FPX) in the LPL 2025 Split 2. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their standings early in the split. BLG seeks to maintain their upward trajectory, while FPX looks to rebound from recent setbacks.

Team Form Overview

Bilibili Gaming:

• April 25, 2025: Defeated Ninjas in Pyjamas 2-0.
• April 20, 2025: Lost to Top Esports 1-2.
• April 17, 2025: Overcame Team WE 2-1.
• April 12, 2025: Fell to JD Gaming 0-2.
• April 10, 2025: Lost to Anyone's Legend 1-2.

BLG has shown resilience, securing two wins in their last five matches, including a decisive victory against Ninjas in Pyjamas.

FunPlus Phoenix:

• April 28, 2025: Defeated Bilibili Gaming 2-1.
• April 25, 2025: Lost to Team WE 1-2.
• April 20, 2025: Beat Ninjas in Pyjamas 2-0.
• April 14, 2025: Overcame JD Gaming 2-1.
• April 12, 2025: Defeated Weibo Gaming 2-0.

FPX has demonstrated strong form, winning four of their last five matches, including a recent victory over BLG.

Stat-Based Matchup Analysis

Bilibili Gaming:

• Gold Per Minute (GPM): 1904.77
• Kills Per Minute (KPM): 0.541
• Kill/Death Ratio (K/D): 2.239
• Champion Damage Per Minute (DPM): 2775.85

FunPlus Phoenix:

• Gold Per Minute (GPM): 1831.50
• Kills Per Minute (KPM): 0.458
• Kill/Death Ratio (K/D): 1.262
• Champion Damage Per Minute (DPM): 2573.30

BLG holds an advantage in GPM, KPM, K/D ratio, and DPM, indicating superior macro and micro gameplay metrics.

Market Evaluation & Betting Edges

Match Winner - Twoway:

• Bilibili Gaming: 1.25
• FunPlus Phoenix: 3.80

The odds favor BLG, reflecting their statistical advantages.

Map Handicap (-1.5):

• Bilibili Gaming: 1.85
• FunPlus Phoenix: 1.88

Given BLG's higher K/D ratio and DPM, a 2-0 victory is plausible, making the -1.5 map handicap on BLG at 1.85 a potential value bet.

Total Maps Over 2.5:

• Over 2.5: 2.30
• Under 2.5: 1.55

Considering BLG's statistical edge, a straight-set win is likely, making the under 2.5 maps at 1.55 a reasonable consideration.

Final Thoughts

BLG's superior statistics and recent form suggest a strong likelihood of a 2-0 victory. The -1.5 map handicap at 1.85 offers value, aligning with the anticipated match outcome.

Written on May 4, 2025 3:49 PM