Anyone's Legend - Top Esports

Analysis and statistics

Match Context & Stakes

Anyone's Legend vs. Top Esports—a critical best-of-three in the LPL 2025 Split 2. Both squads are angling to secure playoff positioning as momentum ramps up this split, adding strategic urgency to every series win. Anyone's Legend looks to convert recent improvement into an upset, while Top Esports needs a clean result after some turbulence in previous weeks.

Team Form Overview

Anyone's Legend: Over their last five, Anyone's Legend is 4-1. They've posted series wins against Ninjas in Pyjamas (2-0), Team WE (2-1), ThunderTalk Gaming (2-0), and Weibo Gaming (2-0). Their only stumble was a 0-2 sweep loss at the hands of JD Gaming in a performance marked by low objective control.

Top Esports: Also 4-1 across their last five, Top Esports has demonstrated consistency but not overwhelming dominance. They beat Ninjas in Pyjamas (2-1), Bilibili Gaming (2-1), Team WE (2-1), and ThunderTalk Gaming (2-0). Their lone loss was a close 1-2 against Invictus Gaming. Against upper-middle table opponents, their game wins have often been hard-fought and sometimes shaky before the midgame transition.

Stat-Based Matchup Analysis

Objective Metrics:

• First Baron/Dragon: Anyone's Legend have outstandingly low objective rates: 0% for both first Baron and first Dragon in their last recorded span, suggesting early-to-mid map control is a major weakness. Top Esports are ahead but not lights out: 9.1% first Baron and 45.5% first Dragon reflects average performance.
• First Blood/First Kills (5/10/15): Anyone's Legend record zeros across all first kill stats, a glaring sign of slow or passive early gameplay. Top Esports, while not explosive (approx. 45% first blood, ~27% for 5/10 kills), do create more early leads.

Gold & Efficiency:

• Gold per Minute: Nearly dead even (Anyone's Legend 1886, Top Esports 1894).
• Gold Diff at 15: TES struggles more (-305), so while AL doesn’t create leads, Top sometimes starts behind vs. the same class of LPL teams.

Kills and K:D Ratio:

• AL Kills/Min: 0.55 with a 2.40 KDA—a huge efficiency number, indicating if this team gets ahead, they rarely give leads back.
• TES Kills/Min: 0.51 with a 2.00 KDA. More skirmish-prone but bleedable versus tighter, slower opposition.
• Damage: TES leads in champion damage (3,000 vs 2,810)—so fights might favor them on raw output.

Market Evaluation & Betting Edges

1. Match Winner Odds

• • AL @ 2.15 (Implied: 46.5%)
  • TES @ 1.68 (Implied: 59.5%)

Despite matching recent form and frankly, a much better-than-odds KDA, AL are being underrated due to weak early objective rates (which, for G2L-style scrappy teams, might be a historic issue but doesn't translate 1-for-1 into series outcomes).

2. Map Handicaps & Totals

• AL +1.5 maps @ 1.35 (Implied = 74%)
• Over 2.5 maps @ 1.85 (each)

Given both teams play a lot of 2-1 games and rarely sweep, over 2.5 maps appeals. If Top Esports doesn't explode early (data: <50% first kill rates), three close maps is likely. AL +1.5 is a fair price, but not clear value.

3. Early Objectives/First Bloods

• Map 1 First Blood (AL: 1.88, TES: 1.82); Map 1 First Baron (AL: 2, TES: 1.72)

AL's first blood/baron rates are nil, so even pricing does not reflect reality—avoid those side markets.

Final Thoughts

While AL are fundamentally behind on early game stats, their overall K:D and recent string of series wins suggest a stylistic mismatch with average LPL squads: they lose early but "turtle" into midgame punchy fights. If TES doesn't crisp up their slow starts, value sits on match winner and perhaps (very marginally) correct score 2-1 for either squad. Over 2.5 maps also is solidly statistical given these teams' pattern for long series.

Key value: AL on match winner odds; Over 2.5 maps as low-risk/return secondary. Avoid first blood/objective markets as AL's recent stat line is too extreme.

Written on May 4, 2025 3:49 PM