Anyone's Legend - Bilibili Gaming

Analysis and statistics

Match Context & Stakes

The LPL 2025 Split 2 brings us a pivotal mid-table clash between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming. With playoff implications already looming, both squads will view this event as a measure of progress in a tightly packed leaderboard. Given how volatile this league can be, head-to-head results against similarly matched sides will be crucial for postseason qualification.

Team Form Overview

Anyone's Legend show a strong recent run: four wins in their last five matches, with only a single stumble against JD Gaming (0-2). Wins against Ninjas in Pyjamas (2-0), Team WE (2-1), ThunderTalk Gaming (2-0), and Weibo Gaming (2-0) show their stability and ability to close out both clean and scrappy series.

Bilibili Gaming have struggled for momentum: they've won only once in their last five matches (beating Team WE 2-1), while attaining losses against Ninjas in Pyjamas (0-2), Top Esports (1-2), JD Gaming (0-2), and Anyone's Legend (1-2 in last H2H). This suggests BLG are landing below expectations particularly against teams with structured early games and crisp midgame shotcalling like AL.

Stat-Based Matchup Analysis

Both teams lack stellar objective control in the recent three-month split: 0% rates for first Baron, Dragon, Blood, and early kill milestones—which is unusual. Offensive stats shed more light:

• Gold per Minute: BLG lead slightly (1904 vs 1886) but the edge is marginal.
• Kills per Minute: AL (0.550) narrowly leap BLG (0.541); both trend toward fighting.
• Kill:Death Ratio: AL (2.39) outperform BLG (2.24), reinforcing their tendency to come out ahead in skirmishes.
• Champion Damage: Nearly flat; slight AL edge (2810 dpm to 2775 dpm).

Without strong objective setups, both are reliant on fighting and midgame teamwork. Anyone's Legend have an advantage in raw output and seem to be actualizing it in their win record.

Market Evaluation & Betting Edges

The main market (Match Winner - Twoway) pricing is:

• Anyone's Legend: 1.68
• Bilibili Gaming: 2.15

Implied probabilities are ~59% for AL and ~46% for BLG. Given AL’s sharper form, recent H2H win, and slight edge in the KDA and damage stats, the favorite pricing for AL is reasonable but not undervalued. However, the over 2.5 maps is interesting at 1.85 each (~54% implied) because:

• Both teams split a map the last time they faced (any AL victory was 2-1)
• BLG frequently push games even in losses (series scores: 1-2 vs AL, 2-1 vs WE, 1-2 vs TES)

Map handicaps offer no value—the AL -1.5 at 3.0 is too steep given BLG’s ability to take a map even when losing. Likewise, BLG (+1.5) at 1.35 is overprotected by the books.

Props/Objective-first markets: Both squads' abysmal first Baron and objective rates, at 0%, do not have exploitative lines—the books set them as pure coinflips. No edge appears.

Final Thoughts

Bilibili Gaming remain a live underdog but statistical signals and recent head-to-head lean toward Anyone's Legend to find another narrow series win. The most inviting market is Over 2.5 Maps, which the teams hit more often than the odds imply. Stick to over map markets for true value—they’ll likely make you sweat, but these teams rarely close clean.

Written on May 4, 2025 6:11 PM