Team Heretics - Fnatic

Analysis and statistics

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Match Context & Stakes

On May 5, 2025, at 15:00 UTC, Team Heretics will face Fnatic in the LEC 2025 Spring Split. This match is pivotal for both teams as they vie for a higher standing in the league, with potential implications for playoff seeding and qualification for international tournaments.

Team Form Overview

Team Heretics:

Over their last five matches, Team Heretics has a record of 2 wins and 3 losses:

• April 20, 2025: Victory against Team Vitality (2-0).
• April 14, 2025: Loss to Karmine Corp (1-2).
• April 12, 2025: Win over Team BDS (2-1).
• April 7, 2025: Defeat by KOI (0-2).
• April 5, 2025: Loss to G2 Esports (0-2).

This performance indicates inconsistency, with notable victories interspersed with defeats.

Fnatic:

Fnatic's recent form shows 4 wins and 1 loss:

• April 26, 2025: Loss to KOI (1-2).
• April 19, 2025: Win against Rogue (2-0).
• April 13, 2025: Victory over Team Vitality (2-0).
• April 6, 2025: Win against Karmine Corp (2-1).
• March 31, 2025: Loss to SK Gaming (0-2).

Fnatic demonstrates strong form, with a majority of recent matches resulting in wins.

Stat-Based Matchup Analysis

Team Heretics:

• First Baron Rate: 22.22%
• First Dragon Rate: 50.00%
• Gold Per Minute: 1,788.58
• Gold Difference at 15 Minutes: -394.39
• First Blood Rate: 50.00%
• First 5 Kills Rate: 44.44%
• First 10 Kills Rate: 50.00%
• First 15 Kills Rate: 33.33%
• Kills Per Minute: 0.374
• Kill/Death Ratio: 1.5076
• Champion Damage Per Minute: 2,648.72

Fnatic:

• First Baron Rate: 52.17%
• First Dragon Rate: 56.52%
• Gold Per Minute: 1,900.37
• Gold Difference at 15 Minutes: +400.83
• First Blood Rate: 52.17%
• First 5 Kills Rate: 43.48%
• First 10 Kills Rate: 60.87%
• First 15 Kills Rate: 60.87%
• Kills Per Minute: 0.4993
• Kill/Death Ratio: 1.9638
• Champion Damage Per Minute: 2,701.01

Fnatic holds statistical advantages in several key areas, including objective control, early-game gold leads, and kill participation, suggesting a stronger overall performance.

Market Evaluation & Betting Edges

Match Winner - Twoway:

• Team Heretics: Odds at 5.3
• Fnatic: Odds at 1.15

The odds heavily favor Fnatic, reflecting their superior form and statistics. However, the high odds for Team Heretics may present value for those anticipating an upset.

Map Handicap (-1.5):

• Team Heretics: Odds at 8.5
• Fnatic: Odds at 1.05

A 2-0 victory for Team Heretics is considered unlikely, as indicated by the high odds.

Total Maps Over 2.5:

• Odds at 2.6

Given Team Heretics' potential to take a map, betting on the series extending to three games could offer value.

Final Thoughts

While Fnatic is the clear favorite based on recent performance and statistics, the betting markets offer opportunities for value, particularly in the Total Maps Over 2.5 market. Bettors should consider the potential for Team Heretics to secure a map win, making a full three-game series a plausible outcome.

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Written on May 4, 2025 6:11 PM