DetonatioN FM
-CFO
-
Analysis and statistics
Match Context & Stakes
DetonatioN FM face CTBC Flying Oyster in the LCP 2025 Mid Season, where the stakes are rising with every match. CTBC Flying Oyster enter as one of the event's clear favorites given their pedigree and regional dominance, while DetonatioN FM are cast as heavy underdogs. With these odds, punters are looking either for legendary upsets or edges hidden in overlooked stats or momentum shifts.
Team Form Overview
DetonatioN FM come off a win against Chiefs ESC (2-1), but recently dropped 0-2 to Team Secret Whales. Their trajectory is mixed and notably softer in opposition than CFO's recent rivals.
CTBC Flying Oyster boast an imposing recent record: 2-0 victories in their last three series against MGN Vikings Esports, Talon Esports, and Top Esports. Their close 2-3 series loss to Karmine Corp breaks their streak only slightly; even in defeat, they looked competitive. They also took down Team Liquid 2-0 at the First Stand.
Stat-Based Matchup Analysis
Macro Stats:
- CFO edge out in raw teamfighting – kills per minute (0.48 vs 0.45) and K/D (2.26 vs 1.55)
- CFO bring significantly higher gold/min (1872 vs 1772) and minimize their early-game deficit (just -26 gold @15 compared to DFM's worrying -382)
- First Blood/Late Objective Control: CFO claim first blood nearly 50% of games; Detonation FM are stuck at 0%. CFO also outpace DFM sharply in First Baron rate (59% vs 40%) and win teamfight metrics across 5/10/15 kill marks.
- Objective Contrast: DetonatioN take early dragons (60%) but rarely press their tempo through the mid to late game. CFO trades some early drakes (47%) for greater late game scaling and finish.
- Damage Comparison: Lump sum differences favor CFO, with 2644 Damage/min slightly ahead of DFM’s 2560, fitting their high teamfight efficacy profile.
Overall, stats and opposition level combined show a significant qualitative and quantitative gap in CFO’s favor. DetonatioN FM lags in every key win condition.
Market Evaluation & Betting Edges
Looking at the outright pricing:
- DetonatioN FM offered at massive 8.0 on Maps 1 and 2; 6.3 on Map 3. Implied probabilities (12.5% to 15.9%) feel exceedingly generous given stat shortages and poor recent form against medium-caliber opponents.
- CFO’s price sits at the basement 1.04 or 1.08: implied 96-97% win chance per map, which more closely represents a best in region squashing wildcards, and current stats essentially justify this overwhelming favoritism.
Unless a major external change (roster swap, sudden meta shift – none currently validated per up-to-date sources) gets confirmed, these market inefficiencies do not exist: bookmakers are properly pricing a complete mismatch.
Final Thoughts
This fixture heavily favors CTBC Flying Oyster both in form and statistical output. DetonatioN FM have some minor early drake odds and occasionally win games against league mid-pack, but nothing in their profile suggests hidden value. As such, the markets reflect actual win chances accurately – bettors find no viable value even on extreme underdog prices, and placing large favorite odds carries rank risk by virtue of negligible payout. All data points line up with the market stance; no actionable edges present.
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