Dplus KIA Challengers - KT Rolster Challengers

Analysis and statistics

Match Context & Stakes

The fixture between Dplus KIA Challengers and KT Rolster Challengers takes place on May 6 in the LCK CL 2025 Rounds 1-2. Both teams compete in the premier Korean second division, a vital stage for talent development and main roster pipelines. KT Rolster Challengers are heavy favorites and have shown consistent dominance throughout the schedule, while Dplus KIA are desperately trying to break out of a disastrous run to preserve morale and momentum.

Team Form Overview

Dplus KIA Challengers

Dplus KIA enter this fixture on a concerning five-match losing streak, falling 1-2 or 0-2 in recent rounds:

• 0:2 vs Nongshim Esports Academy
• 0:2 vs DRX Challengers
• 1:2 vs KT Rolster Challengers (reverse fixture)
• 1:2 vs Nongshim Esports Academy
• 1:2 vs FearX Youth

Despite showing the ability to reach match point in some series, their resilience and closers have let them down in all critical moments. Their form trend is clearly negative.

KT Rolster Challengers

KT's record stands in direct contrast. Over the last five, KT won four of five series, with results including victories over Gen.G Global Academy (2:0), Dplus KIA Challengers (2:1), DRX Challengers (2:0), and Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (2:1), with a sole 1:2 loss to Freecs Challengers. This marks KT as a red-hot favorite with superior execution and confidence.

Stat-Based Matchup Analysis

KT Rolster Challengers hold the edge in every major statistical category:

• First Objective Control: 1st Baron (47.6% vs 20%), Dragon (66.7% vs 60%).
• Early Leads: KT averages +543g at 15 min; Dplus averages a punishing -1499g.
• Kill Pressure: KT outscore (0.59 KPM & 2.36 KDA) vs Dplus at (0.30 KPM & 0.82 KDA).
• Map Flow: KT dominates early (first blood 66.7% vs 28%), and snowballs kills at first 5 (76.1%), 10 (71.4%), 15 (66.7%); Dplus struggle to make impactful plays early or mid.
• Damage Output: KT at 3366dpm to Dplus’s 2270dpm confirms higher team-wide productivity.

The lopsided stats point to greater coordination, individual performance—essentially, a step up in competitive class for KT.

Market Evaluation & Betting Edges

Extremely skewed markets reflect KT’s dominance:

• Match Winner: KT 1.03 (implied 97%), Dplus 9.0 (implied ~11%)
• -1.5 Map Handicap: KT 1.28, Dplus 3.3 (+1.5),
• Map Winner Odds: Each KT map at ~1.12
• Correct Score 2:0 for KT: 1.28 (implied 78%)

Reviewing both statistical profiles and recent form, the market is rightly pricing KT as overwhelming favorites. There is no statistical, historical, or contextual evidence supporting Dplus KIA outperforming even a single map enough to justify longshot odds—even Dplus’s rare three-map games came from mild overperformance, not systematic edge. Bookmakers’ odds honestly reflect vast team disparity: none of the underdogs (+1.5, +2.5 or full Dplus win) present overlay value, especially since even map steals have been uncommon vs upper teams like KT.

Final Thoughts

This fixture is a clear mismatch by present form, statistical edge, and institutional trajectory. The markets have set a nearly perfect price on KT Rolster Challengers, with no edge available in outright, handicap, or map markets. For those seeking exposure, avoid heavy favorites in parlay with close-to-zero value; for upsets, statistical support is missing even for hopeful punts.

Written on May 4, 2025 6:21 PM