FearX - BRION

Analysis and statistics

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Match Context & Stakes

On May 7, 2025, FearX and BRION will face off in the LCK 2025 Rounds 1-2. Both teams have undergone significant roster changes in the off-season, making this matchup a critical test of their new lineups and strategies.

Team Form Overview

FearX Recent Matches:

• May 3, 2025: Lost 0-2 to DRX.
• April 30, 2025: Lost 0-2 to Hanwha Life Esports.
• April 26, 2025: Won 2-1 against DN Freecs.
• April 23, 2025: Lost 0-2 to Nongshim RedForce.
• April 18, 2025: Won 2-1 against T1 Esports.

FearX has a mixed recent performance, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. Notably, they secured a victory against T1 Esports, indicating potential strength against top-tier teams.

BRION Recent Matches:

• April 27, 2025: Won 2-1 against T1 Esports.
• April 24, 2025: Lost 0-2 to Hanwha Life Esports.
• April 19, 2025: Lost 0-2 to Gen.G.
• April 17, 2025: Won 2-1 against KT Rolster.
• April 11, 2025: Won 2-1 against DN Freecs.

BRION has shown resilience, winning three of their last five matches, including a notable victory over T1 Esports.

Stat-Based Matchup Analysis

FearX Team Statistics (Last 3 Months):

• First Baron Rate: 38.46%
• First Dragon Rate: 65.38%
• Gold Per Minute: 1816.72
• Gold Difference at 15 Minutes: -393.5
• First Blood Rate: 46.15%
• First 5 Kills Rate: 53.85%
• First 10 Kills Rate: 61.54%
• First 15 Kills Rate: 42.31%
• Kills Per Minute: 0.43
• Kill/Death Ratio: 1.37
• Champion Damage: 2799.79

BRION Team Statistics (Last 3 Months):

• First Baron Rate: 30.43%
• First Dragon Rate: 60.87%
• Gold Per Minute: 1779
• Gold Difference at 15 Minutes: -486.65
• First Blood Rate: 65.22%
• First 5 Kills Rate: 47.83%
• First 10 Kills Rate: 34.78%
• First 15 Kills Rate: 26.09%
• Kills Per Minute: 0.34
• Kill/Death Ratio: 1.40
• Champion Damage: 2504.56

Analysis:

FearX demonstrates a stronger early game presence, with higher rates in securing first dragons and early kills. However, their negative gold difference at 15 minutes suggests mid-game challenges. BRION, while having a higher first blood rate, struggles to maintain early advantages, as indicated by their lower first 10 and 15 kills rates.

Market Evaluation & Betting Edges

Match Winner - Twoway:

• FearX: 1.7
• BRION: 2.1

The odds suggest a slight favoritism towards FearX. Given their early game strengths and recent roster stability, this aligns with expectations.

Map Handicap:

• FearX (-1.5): 3.2
• BRION (+1.5): 1.32

Considering both teams' recent performances and the potential for closely contested games, betting on BRION to win at least one map could be a safer option.

Total Maps:

• Under 2.5: 1.85
• Over 2.5: 1.85

Given the competitive nature of both teams, a full three-map series is plausible, making the 'Over 2.5' bet appealing.

Final Thoughts

This matchup presents a closely contested battle between two evolving teams. While FearX shows early game prowess, BRION's resilience and recent victories against strong opponents cannot be overlooked. Bettors should consider the potential for a full series and the likelihood of BRION securing at least one map.

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Written on May 4, 2025 6:23 PM