Actions Per Minute - Team Phantasma

Analysis and statistics

Match Context & Stakes

The HLL 2025 Spring matchup between Actions Per Minute and Team Phantasma is a clear-on-paper affair in the League of Legends Greek scene. Team Phantasma, perennial contenders at this level, find themselves up against the underdogs Actions Per Minute. Both teams are seeking crucial points as we close in on mid-season, where every win impacts playoff qualification and seeding.

Team Form Overview

Actions Per Minute – Recent Form

• L W vs Zerolag Esports (W 1-0, L most recent 0-1)
• L vs WLGaming esports (0-1)
• L vs Gamespace MCE (0-1)
• L vs Team Insidious (0-1)
• L vs Team Phantasma (0-1) Recent results: 1-4 last five, their only win a tight one against a low-ranked Zerolag. Form is weak with four losses on the bounce before their recent minor upturn.

Team Phantasma – Recent Form

• W vs Zerolag Esports (1-0)
• W vs WLGaming esports (1-0)
• L vs Gamespace MCE (0-1)
• W vs Actions Per Minute (1-0)
• W vs Team Insidious (1-0) Recent results: 4-1 in their last five, including wins over midtable sides and a very recent head-to-head win over Actions Per Minute.

Stat-Based Matchup Analysis

Team Phantasma have a stat edge across almost every metric from the last three months:

• Objective Securing: 46.15% first Baron and 65.38% first Dragon, substantially stronger than Actions Per Minute (23.08% & 30.77%).
• Early Game Strength: Gold Diff @15: +73 for Phantasma, a disastrous -1040 for Actions Per Minute, highlighting poor early game setups.
• Teamfight Output: Higher kills/min (0.557 vs 0.436) and champion damage (2781 vs 2688).
• K/D Ratio: 1.42 vs 1.26, with neither being elite, but Phantasma still superior.

For minor hope, Actions Per Minute actually hold a small edge in first blood (53.85% vs 42.31%) and keep up in 10-kill markers—but these are lone bright spots. Every other core team stat leans hard Phantasma, especially when you consider real game impact metrics like gold&objectives.

Market Evaluation & Betting Edges

"Team Phantasma @1.20" (implied probability ~83%), "Actions Per Minute @4.00" (implied ~25%). Based on form, head-to-head edge, tournament stature, and nearly all key stat lines, Team Phantasma would justifiably be a 1.15 favorite or even lower. The market is not overly soft—if anything, actions-per's real probability (sub 20%, as per form and collective statline) means even 4.00 is short for any serious punt philosophy, unless significant unseen context emerges (roster shakeup etc.).

Final Thoughts

There is no credible value edge for Actions Per Minute—even at 4.00 odds, they're substantially overmatched both on recent form and across the board statistically. Markets reflect reality. Use Team Phantasma in parlay builders or avoid the line, as there’s practically nil value on the underdog unless last-minute insider news shifts the script.

Written on May 4, 2025 6:14 PM